Miami Grand Prix

COMPLETED · MODEL v0.4

Round 4 · Miami Gardens · Race May 3 · Model updated May 3, 4:25 AM

BETOracle's Weekend Positions

3 bets · edge ≥ 5%

Market	Driver	Oracle	Kalshi	Edge
POLE	ANTAndrea Kimi Antonelli	57.7%	35.0%	▲ 22.7%
POLE	VERMax Verstappen	26.1%	7.0%	▲ 19.1%
POLE	LECCharles Leclerc	10.8%	7.0%	▲ 3.8%

#	Driver	Oracle vs Kalshi	Edge	Payout
01	ANTAndrea Kimi Antonelli	31.6% 39.0%	▼ 7.4%	—
02	NORLando Norris	17.0% 26.5%	▼ 9.5%	—
03	VERMax Verstappen	16.9% 25.5%	▼ 8.6%	—
04	LECCharles Leclerc	14.8% 12.0%	▲ 2.8%	—
05	RUSGeorge Russell	8.0% 8.0%	—	—
06	PIAOscar Piastri	6.8% 9.5%	▼ 2.7%	—
07	HAMLewis Hamilton	2.9% 5.5%	▼ 2.6%	—
08	HADIsack Hadjar	0.5% 8.0%	▼ 7.5%	—
09	COLFranco Colapinto	0.4% 8.0%	▼ 7.6%	—
10	GASPierre Gasly	0.3% 8.0%	▼ 7.7%	—
11	BEAOliver Bearman	0.3% 8.0%	▼ 7.7%	—
12	HULNico Hulkenberg	0.2% 8.0%	▼ 7.8%	—
13	LAWLiam Lawson	0.2% 8.0%	▼ 7.8%	—
14	SAICarlos Sainz Jr.	0.1% 8.0%	▼ 7.9%	—

Oracle probability

Kalshi mid-price

BETVirtual bet placed (edge ≥ 5%)