Austrian Grand Prix

RACE DAY · MODEL v0.4

Round 8 · Spielberg · Race Jun 27 · Model updated Jun 27, 5:03 PM

BETOracle's Weekend Positions

5 bets · edge ≥ 5%

Market	Driver	Oracle	Kalshi	Edge
POLE	NORLando Norris	19.9%	1.0%	▲ 18.9%
POLE	PIAOscar Piastri	15.0%	1.0%	▲ 14.0%
PODIUM	NORLando Norris	32.1%	16.0%	▲ 16.1%
PODIUM	PIAOscar Piastri	21.6%	13.0%	▲ 8.6%
PODIUM	VERMax Verstappen	31.0%	23.5%	▲ 7.5%

#	Driver	Oracle vs Kalshi	Edge	Payout
01	RUSGeorge Russell	29.2% 38.0%	▼ 8.8%	—
02	LECCharles Leclerc	19.8% 15.5%	▲ 4.3%	—
03	ANTAndrea Kimi Antonelli	18.9% 27.5%	▼ 8.6%	—
04	HAMLewis Hamilton	15.1% 16.0%	—	—
05	NORLando Norris	5.8% 1.5%	▲ 4.3%	—
06	VERMax Verstappen	5.7% 5.0%	—	—
07	PIAOscar Piastri	3.2% 2.5%	—	—
08	HADIsack Hadjar	1.1% 1.0%	—	—
09	LAWLiam Lawson	0.4% 1.0%	—	—
10	LINArvid Lindblad	0.3% 1.0%	—	—
11	GASPierre Gasly	0.3% 1.0%	—	—
12	BORGabriel Bortoleto	0.1% 1.0%	—	—
13	BEAOliver Bearman	0.1% 1.0%	—	—

Oracle probability

Kalshi mid-price

BETVirtual bet placed (edge ≥ 5%)